speciation

Burgess R & Yang Z 2008 Estimation of hominoid ancestral population sizes under Bayesian coalescent models incorporating mutation rate variation and sequencing errors. Mol Biol Evol 25:1979-1994.

  • we obtained robust and precise estimates for effective population sizes along the hominoid lineage extending back ~30 Myr to the cercopithecoid divergence
  • ancestral populations were 5–10 times larger than modern humans along the entire hominoid lineage
  • the unusually low X chromosome divergence between human and chimpanzee could not be explained by variation in the male mutation bias or by current models of hybridization and introgression
  • instead, our parameter estimates were consistent with a simple instantaneous process for human–chimpanzee speciation but showed a major reduction in X chromosome effective population size peculiar to the human–chimpanzee common ancestor
  • possibly due to selective sweeps on the X prior to separation of the 2 species
  • at the major histocompatibility complex (MHC), balancing selection has extended the mean coalescence time for human DRB1 alleles to ~29 Myr
  • the diversity and deep coalescence of MHC alleles imply N ≈ 100,000 over this longer timescale
  • we calibrated to the human–chimpanzee divergence time (THC), with 2 values used: 4 and 6 Myr
  • the generation time was assumed to be g ≈ 15 years
  • modern humans have longer generation times, but ancestral species were probably physically smaller, perhaps similar to modern macaques, which have g ≈ 11 years